The protests continued until the southern hemisphere summer when in February everything stops. They started again with huge International Women’s Day marches on 8th March, then Covid arrived. The handling of this has almost mirrored Britain’s – half-hearted lockdowns, confusing messages, a population that does not trust the government or other authorities. Many, especially young people, do not trust other authorities like scientists either. So we had more than 20,000 ‘excess’ deaths last year – one in a thousand of the population, and another upsurge after Christmas and New Year.
The new constitution will be a blank sheet. This was a major victory. If the convention does not agree a point, there will be no reverting to the 1980 text. The agreement was criticised for several issues. It did not guarantee gender equality nor seats for ethnic minorities – these have been settled subsequently. The most controversial was that decisions will have to be agreed by two thirds of the delegates. This was decided so that the right wing can block radical change if they can get one third of the delegates. However, it also works the other way. Given the electoral fragmentation of the left (see below), if the left achieves a third but not a majority, they can block reactionary proposals. Issues not decided by the convention, and not in the new constitution, will be decided later by law, by simple majority in parliament.
As Covid fatigue increased, protests have started again but before that there was the campaign, mainly online, for the referendum on 25th October. Nearly everyone in Chile uses Facebook, it seems, and in the run-up, its pages were red-hot with calls to Approve a new constitution, and for it to be written by specially elected delegates. The alternative to Reject got little public support, and for the body writing it to include half from the present Congress, got even less. The vote was overwhelming – 78% for a new constitution, with slightly fewer voting, 79% went for a totally elected Convention and only 21% for a ‘mixed’ body including 50% of existing parliamentarians. The distribution of the vote was an almost perfect socioeconomic map. In Santiago, the poorer the municipality, the higher the percentage, above 85% in many. The only municipalitiess to reject the idea were the three where all the rich live. The disappointing aspect was that only 51% of the population voted – partly explained by the Covid crisis, of course.
So now we have until 11th January to register candidates for the elected assembly (carefully called a Constitutional Convention so as not to have the same name as Constituent Assemblies in other South American countries). The election will be in April, when we will also elect Regional Governors, Mayors and councilors. This is where it becomes difficult. What is the political background? The parties that governed Chile since 1990 have been to a large extent rejected - they inherited the neoliberal system from the dictatorship and deepened it. Privatisation continued, including now 70% of the crucial production of copper, electricity generation, highways and water. Subsidised private schools were introduced, so by paying a relatively modest amount parents who could afford it could take their children out of the public system. What is left in the state system are sink schools. Social segregation in education is extreme, and higher education is expensive. Private health insurance covers 18% of the population. The public health service has improved but waiting lists for specialists and operations are long. Labour laws mean that trade unions have a hard time, and private sector unionisation is low. The median wage is equivalent to about £400 a month, and over the years scandalous price-fixing cartels have been exposed for medicines, chicken, toilet paper. The cartels of the three pharmacy chains continues, and that by the three main supermarket chains has not even been exposed, let alone tackled.
Salvador Allende’s Socialist Party, with a proud revolutionary history, emerged from the dictatorship fragmented and small, with leaders mainly returned from ‘golden exile’ in Europe and converted into good social democrats. They eagerly took their place in the first post-dictatorship governments, took well-paid jobs in government or in congress, and did not worry about building a mass membership again. I used to wonder how it was financed – and the same about the PPD, the Party for Democracy, the Radicals and Christian Democrats. My question was answered a few years ago – big business financed not only right wing parties but also their opposition. This happened with not only legal, but also illegal payments which were revealed almost by accident – a huge scandal. A big contributor was Pinochet’s former son-in-law who was virtually given the state Nitrate Mining Company, and now controls most of the strategic lithium deposits. All political parties have been tarred with this brush of corruption. The Communist Party (PCCh) had no involvement in illegal (or legal) business financing but did take part, to good effect, in Michelle Bachelet’s last government (2014-18). So anti-communists of all stripes, never in short supply, smear the PCCh as being the same as the rest. Even the Broad Front, never in government, suffers from a massive ‘anti-party’ online campaign. Many progressives fall for it. Anarchism fits perfectly with capitalist individualism, which of course has been strongly dominant here for nearly 50 years. So anarchistic rejection of parties on a ‘left’ basis, is common. It is easily forgotten that the biggest attacker of politicians was Pinochet.
Nearly all discussion so far has been about guaranteeing rights in the new constitution. Very good, but rights proclaimed in a constitution do not necessarily translate into real life. More important will be the mechanisms to achieve real, or at least improved, democracy. A communist deputy has written a ‘decalogue’ of proposals, including a change to a single chamber congress and a semi-parliamentary system, away from the present one modelled in the USA, where the president is almost like a king.
So now we have to elect candidates to write a new constitution, with a probably united right-wing coalition, a discredited centre-left bloc (or maybe two) and many people on the anti-party left calling for independent candidates. Some independents, outside party lists, might be elected where there are strong social movements, or if they are well-known personally. But I expect few will be, and their effect will be to split the votes for real change. There are decent politicians in all the parties that oppose the right wing, and many good laws have been passed, especially in Bachelet’s second term (2014-18) but that is no longer enough. People want real change. The pressing need is for an anti-neoliberal list for the elections, as broad as possible, including many independents. The Communist Party is engaged in building such an alliance. For some months it has had an alliance with the Regional Green Social Federation (one of their deputies has fought well against the TPP-11 pacific trade agreement), some Humanists and other groupings. Now this has been joined by the Broad Front, or at least the anti-neoliberal sections of this. One important asset is Daniel Jadue. This Communist mayor of Recoleta, a poor Santiago municipality, is now well-known for both his ground-breaking initiatives in his municipality and his intelligent, articulate appearances on television. He was the first to open a municipal pharmacy, breaking the 3-chain oligopoly and dramatically lowering prices. Then more libraries, a bookshop (none existed in the municipality) and lately municipal housing for rent, a complete novelty in Chile. Despite anti-communism, he has the highest poll rating of the possible candidates to be the next President. It is to be hoped that his popularity, combined with local work on the ground, in social movements, will give the anti-neoliberal list good results for mayors and councillors as well as in the convention to write the new constitution.